NCAAT - Providence (4) vs SoDakota St (13) - Thurs 12:40

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Who wins?

Providence
16
80%
South Dakota State
4
20%
 
Total votes : 20

Re: NCAAT - Providence (4) vs SoDakota St (13) - Thurs 12:40

Postby Husky_U » Wed Mar 16, 2022 7:52 am

PCguy wrote:I read this morning that AJ Reeves is a game time decision. Banged up in the Creighton game.

Ugh. How about he makes it a bracket deadline decision?
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Re: NCAAT - Providence (4) vs SoDakota St (13) - Thurs 12:40

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Re: NCAAT - Providence (4) vs SoDakota St (13) - Thurs 12:40

Postby ArmyVet » Wed Mar 16, 2022 12:05 pm

WSJ has some expert formula that picks upsets and guess what the computer says:

No. 13 South Dakota State over No. 4 Providence
Ezekowitz 33%, KenPom 44%, Crowd 30%

Finally! A team from a conference without a billion-dollar television contract. As one of the worst defensive teams in the entire bracket, South Dakota State has too many deficiencies to qualify for an official upset prediction. But they have the best shot of any team outside the Big Ten because of their incredible offense, which ranks No. 1 of the nation’s 358 teams in effective field-goal percentage and 3-point shooting percentage. They protect the ball. They make the most of every possession. They can easily get hot for one game in one single-elimination tournament and make you look like a genius. And don’t you want another incentive to root for a team called the Jackrabbits?


https://www.wsj.com/articles/ncaa-tourn ... eatst_pos5
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Re: NCAAT - Providence (4) vs SoDakota St (13) - Thurs 12:40

Postby billyjack » Wed Mar 16, 2022 1:49 pm

If PC had lost 7 of those close games, and we sat at 19-10 and 8-9 in the BE, sportswriters would be saying "the 11-seed Friars are an upset special to make the Sweet 16-- did you know PC has 7 losses of 3 points or fewer!!! look for them to bounce Iowa and Alabama!!!"

Instead it's, "PC has x close wins. 12% chance they'll beat the Rabbits".

P.S. when my son was 8, he made up a fake baseball team on PS4 named the Spokane Runnin' Rabbits... does this mean PC will beat both the Jackrabbits and Gonzaga?
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Re: NCAAT - Providence (4) vs SoDakota St (13) - Thurs 12:40

Postby Wizard of Westroads » Wed Mar 16, 2022 2:03 pm

ArmyVet wrote:WSJ has some expert formula that picks upsets and guess what the computer says:

No. 13 South Dakota State over No. 4 Providence
Ezekowitz 33%, KenPom 44%, Crowd 30%

Finally! A team from a conference without a billion-dollar television contract. As one of the worst defensive teams in the entire bracket, South Dakota State has too many deficiencies to qualify for an official upset prediction. But they have the best shot of any team outside the Big Ten because of their incredible offense, which ranks No. 1 of the nation’s 358 teams in effective field-goal percentage and 3-point shooting percentage. They protect the ball. They make the most of every possession. They can easily get hot for one game in one single-elimination tournament and make you look like a genius. And don’t you want another incentive to root for a team called the Jackrabbits?


https://www.wsj.com/articles/ncaa-tourn ... eatst_pos5

it's just among the games to "keep in mind." The algo he's using only gives SDSU a 33% chance, so the computer picks PC.
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Re: NCAAT - Providence (4) vs SoDakota St (13) - Thurs 12:40

Postby Savannah Jay » Wed Mar 16, 2022 2:10 pm

billyjack wrote:If PC had lost 7 of those close games, and we sat at 19-10 and 8-9 in the BE, sportswriters would be saying "the 11-seed Friars are an upset special to make the Sweet 16-- did you know PC has 7 losses of 3 points or fewer!!! look for them to bounce Iowa and Alabama!!!"

Instead it's, "PC has x close wins. 12% chance they'll beat the Rabbits".

P.S. when my son was 8, he made up a fake baseball team on PS4 named the Spokane Runnin' Rabbits... does this mean PC will beat both the Jackrabbits and Gonzaga?


I think that's exactly what it means, Billy. Here's to PC beating both SDSU and Coach Fraaaaaannnnn like rented mules. Do that and we'll worry about the Zags next week.
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Re: NCAAT - Providence (4) vs SoDakota St (13) - Thurs 12:40

Postby stever20 » Wed Mar 16, 2022 2:16 pm

I think Providence and Wisconsin(and actually Colorado St) are pretty important teams this March. If those 3 were to flame out early, you just know the call will be more and more about the predictive metrics.
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Re: NCAAT - Providence (4) vs SoDakota St (13) - Thurs 12:40

Postby kayako » Wed Mar 16, 2022 2:19 pm

stever20 wrote:I think Providence and Wisconsin(and actually Colorado St) are pretty important teams this March. If those 3 were to flame out early, you just know the call will be more and more about the predictive metrics.


Easily countered by the likes of Houston struggling.

They should have been matched up tbh.
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Re: NCAAT - Providence (4) vs SoDakota St (13) - Thurs 12:40

Postby stever20 » Wed Mar 16, 2022 2:22 pm

kayako wrote:
stever20 wrote:I think Providence and Wisconsin(and actually Colorado St) are pretty important teams this March. If those 3 were to flame out early, you just know the call will be more and more about the predictive metrics.


Easily countered by the likes of Houston struggling.

They should have been matched up tbh.

Yeah- and even others like UCLA and Iowa.
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Re: NCAAT - Providence (4) vs SoDakota St (13) - Thurs 12:40

Postby ArmyVet » Thu Mar 17, 2022 10:16 am

First one up. Good luck Billyjack etal.
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Re: NCAAT - Providence (4) vs SoDakota St (13) - Thurs 12:40

Postby gtmoBlue » Thu Mar 17, 2022 10:50 am

Let's Go Providence!!!

Let it Ride Friars!!!

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